Picks Against the Spread - Week 15

Last week: 10-6
Season to date: 60-70-3

Dolphins This Week

• Baltimore (-3.5) OVER @ Miami - I have no idea what to think of this game. I've been burned many times this season thinking the Dolphins would get their first win. Thus, I'll pick the Ravens even though this is a game fit to be tied.
  

Games of the Week

• Buffalo (+5.5) OVER @ Cleveland - The Browns play well at home, but the Bills are pretty sneaky. So much so, that I think they could sneak out of Cleveland with a huge win. However, I'll stick with the Browns for the outright win, but Bills to cover.
  
• @ New Orleans (-3.5) OVER Arizona - It'll be a hangover for the Cardinals. They had an opportunity to go to Seattle and get back in the division race and stay in the lead for the wild card. Second road game in as many weeks and they will come out flat and the Saints will take advantage.
  

The Rest

• Denver (-1) OVER @ Houston
  
• @ San Francisco (+8.5) OVER Cincinnati
  
• @ Tampa Bay (13.5) OVER Atlanta
  
• Green Bay (-9.5) OVER @ St. Louis
  
• Jacksonville (+3.5) OVER @ Pittsburgh
  
• @ New England (-23.5) OVER New York Jets
  
• Seattle (-7) OVER @ Carolina
• Tennessee (-4) OVER @ Kansas City
• Indianapolis (-10.5) OVER @ Oakland
• @ San Diego (-10) OVER Detroit
  
• @ Dallas (-10) OVER Philadelphia
  
• @ New York Giants (-4.5) OVER Washington
  
• Chicago (+10) OVER @ Minnesota
  

Dolphins @ Bills, Ramblings

I haven't been writing much about the Dolphins lately because, well, they are pretty depressing. Anyway here are some random thoughts on tomorrow's game

• This game will probably look more like the ones in Philly and Pittsburgh, rather than last week's home loss, especially for John Beck. The offense will be back in mistake-prevention mode and should feature lots of runs, short passes, and punts.
• Lorenzo Booker MUST appear in this game. It should be close and low scoring and one big play could go a long way towards actually winning. He seems to have the most potential of our RB's to score a touchdown.
  
• Marshawn Lynch is questionable. I don't think it's a huge deal from the Bills standpoint, but as a DolPhan, I hope he is just unavailable to play. He was key for them in the game at Miami, scoring the TD and a 2-point conversion in the 4th quarter and running lots of clock before the game winning field goal
• I don't care who calls the offensive plays. Cam should, but if someone told him not to, we shouldn't make a big deal about it.
• The Bills, provided they don't do something stupid, like lose to a 0-12 team, actually have a good shot at making the playoffs. They will be 7-6, and with a win over Cleveland could move into the final wild card spot with the final two games against the Giants (could be locked into the #5 seed) and Eagles (could quit after being mathematically eliminated).

Prediction

• Bills 17, Dolphins 13
  

Picks Against the Spread - Week 14

Last week: 8-8
Season to date: 50-64-3

Miami Dolphins This Week

• @ Buffalo (-7) OVER Miami - I learned my lesson, I will not pick the Dolphins again until they win a game outright. The Bills have won five of the last seven, with the only losses to the Pats and Jags. They should cruise to victory over the mentally broken Dolphins.

Games of the Week

• @ New England (-10.5) OVER Pittsburgh - Stop the presses! The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in two consecutive weeks. It doesn't really matter, it still makes sense to pick them every week.
• @ Tennessee OVER San Diego - The Chargers are looking good but are 2-4 on the road. Tennessee should be rejuvenated after getting back into a tie with Cleveland for the final wild card spot

The Rest

• @ Washington (-3) OVER Chicago
  
• Carolina (+10.5) OVER @ Jacksonville - Letdown Alert!
• Dallas (-10.5) OVER @ Detroit
• @ Philadelphia (-3) OVER New York Giants
• @ Green Bay (-10.5) OVER Oakland
• St. Louis (+6.5) OVER @ Cincinnati
• Tampa Bay (-3) OVER @Houston
  
• Arizona (+7) OVER @ Seattle
• Minnesota (-8.5) OVER @ San Francisco
• Cleveland (-3.5) OVER @ New York Jets
• @ Denver (-6.5) OVER Kansas City
• Indianapolis (-9.5) OVER @ Baltimore
  
• New Orleans (-4.5) OVER @ Atlanta